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Pros & Cons
Pros
Though much of this book is about investing, it's broadly applicable. This book is much, much deeper than your typical finance book. I strongly recommend this book to anyone irrespective of their path in life or their career but naturally the recommen... Read More
He cites the vienna circle, the sokal hoax and the works of hegel, jacques derrida and camille paglia as both positive and negative examples pertaining to nonsense speak. But theatricality is a component of his style, so you are getting used to it. Th... Read More
Arrow and debreu state space method akin to scenario analysis; a sequence of what-if (conditional) scenarios. Emotions give us the motivation to do things- see the common stem there in emotion and motivation (mot).
The survivorship bias is one of the most prevalent in our minds. The old is most likely to continue to survive under time aggregation (i. The maximum of an average is necessarily less volatile than the average maximum) older people tend to survive bec... Read More
Nassim taleb's fooled by randomness is a must-read. He uses the example of russian roulette as an example.
Cons
This book is a self-absorbed, self promoting, ego rant, ridden with soft bragging and veiled with a pseudo-intellectual/philosophical presentation. I am not sure why the author felt compelled to slightly undermine buffett's achievements.
Nassim nicholas taleb wrote fooled by randomness.
Taleb seems set on airing out grievances against his more risk-loving stock trading peers and thus stops far short of taking us through a much more interesting discussion of true randomness and chance as it pertains to every day life. Taleb misapplies... Read More
His ideas, meh. His anecdotes are mildly entertaining, as are his unintentional self-owns. He draws parallels everywhere, but many are very superficial.
A discussion about wealthy conservative stock traders and even wealthier risk-loving stock traders who failed because they are reckless, is really not very philosophically or intellectually interesting. An option is essentially an insurance contract, ... Read More
Highlights
Quality
One cannot judge quality of a decision on an outcome but on the cost of alternative outcomes
But this first book will illustrate the basic of taleb ideas
Price
Stock price movements must also reflect noise
Repetitiveness is key for the evaluation of skills think ergodicity
Competitiveness
I will probably read his other incerto books
This book can be a good read for any avid reader interested in these topics and a must for anyone actively investing in the fin... Read More
The more random the environment the less skilleffort matters
As data availability increases odds of the latter increase more than the former
Helpful InsightsBETA
Posted by a reviewer on Amazon
I dont write reviews until now that it
Posted by a reviewer on Amazon
If you are looking for a book on investing keep looking this aint it
Posted by a reviewer on Amazon
However a lot of the ideas in taleb’s book are better explained in “fortune’s formula” by poundstone
Posted by a reviewer on Amazon
Explanations tend to be concocted ex post
Posted by a reviewer on Amazon
This goes handinhand with narrative fallacy wherein people fits a spurious explanation a narrative to noise
Posted by a reviewer on Amazon
It’s better to cultivate intellectual insecurity rather than confidence montaigne over descartes…latter sought certainty
Posted by a reviewer on Amazon
Probability represents a lack of certainty
Posted by a reviewer on Amazon
In the real world probability rarely lends itself to mathematical treatment especially in social sciences
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